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Probability Investigation 
In this project, students explore probability by creating a carnival game and hosting a carnival. They will use their intuitive thinking to reason about probability.
Rubric Code: QXWBWW3
Ready to use
Public Rubric
Subject: Math  
Type: Project  
Grade Levels: 9-12

Powered by iRubric Probability Investigation
  Poor

1 pts

Fair

2 pts

Good

3 pts

Excellent

4 pts

Step I Choose carnival game

Total 20 points

Poor

A written proposal was not submitted on the necessary items:
game description, materials needed, summary of rules, and a plan for calculating probabilities.
Fair

A written proposal was submitted that includes some of the required information but was incomplete: game description, materials needed, summary of rules, and a plan for calculating probabilities.
Good

A written proposal was submitted that includes all the necessary items with some insight into the actions of the group: game description, materials needed, summary of rules, and a plan for calculating probabilities.
Excellent

A written proposal was submitted that includes a thorough information regarding: game description, materials needed, summary of rules, and a plan for calculating probabilities.
Step II Build game

Total 10 points

Poor

Students did not create a game but could not be played.
Fair

Students created a game, but it could not be played the entire carnival.
Good

Students created a game that other students can play. There were slight oversights, but overall the game could be played.
Excellent

Students created a fully functional game.
Step II Rules of the game

Total 10 points

Poor

Students did not create rules for the game.
Fair

Instructions are written but unclear and a verbal description of the game is necessary.
Good

Instructions are included for the game and it can be played with minimal interaction by the game creators.
Excellent

Instructions for the game were visible and easy to read. The game can be played without help.
Step III Empirical probability

Total 20 points

Poor

Students did not collect data and or provide an empirical analysis with justification and explanations.
Fair

Students collected data but did not provided a correct empirical analysis with justification and explanations.
Good

Students collected data and provided an empirical analysis that was somewhat accurate with justification and explanations.
Excellent

Students collected data and provided an accurate analysis of the empirical probability with justification and explanations.
Step III Theoretical probability

Total 20 points

Poor

Student did not calculate the theoretical probability for the various outcomes of the game
Fair

Students calculated the theoretical probability for the various outcomes for the game, but it was inaccurate.
Good

Students calculated the theoretical probability for the various outcomes for the game but there were a few errors.
Excellent

Students correctly calculated the theoretical probability for the various outcomes for the game.
Step III Expense, revenue & profit

Total 20 points

Poor

Student did not calculate the expected profit from the game.
Fair

Students calculated the expected profit from the game but had several errors or missing elements.
Good

Students calculated the expected profit from the game but had a few errors or missing elements.
Excellent

Students correctly calculated the expected profit from the game, including all expenses and revenue.




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